Publications

Journal articles published or in press

Bassing, S. B., D. E. Ausband, M. S. Mitchell, P. M. Lukacs, A. Keever, G. Hale, and L. Waits.  In press.  Stable pack abundance and distribution in a harvested wolf population.  Journal of Wildlife Management.

Tabak, M. A., N. S. Norouzzadeh, D. W. Wolfson, S. J. Sweeney, K. C. Vercauteren, N. P. Snow, J. M. Halseth, P. A. Di Salvo, J. S. Lewis, M. D. White, B. Teton, J. C. Beasley, P. E. Schlichting, R. K Boughton, B. Wrightm E. S. Newkirk, J. S. Ivan, E. A. Odell, R. K. Brook, P. M. Lukacs, A. K. Moeller, E. G. Mandeville, J. Clune, R. S. Miller. 2018. Machine learning to classify animal species in camera trap images: applications in ecology.  Methods in Ecology and Evolution. DOI: 10.1111/2041-210X.13120.

Moeller, A. K, P. M. Lukacs, and J. S. Horne. 2018. Three novel methods to estimate abundance of unmarked animals using remote cameras. Ecosphere 9(8):e02331. 10.1002/ecs2.2331.

Jędrzejewski, W., H. S. Robinson, M. Abarca, K. A. Zeller, G. Velasquez, E. Paemelaere, J. F. Goldberg, E. Payan, R. Hoogesteijn, E. O. Boede, K. Schmidt, M. Lampo, Á. L. Viloria, R. Carreño, N. Robinson, P. M. Lukacs, J. J. Nowak, R. Salom-Pérez,  F. Castañeda, V. Boron, H. Quigley. 2018. Estimating large carnivore populations at global scale based on spatial predictions of density and distribution – application to the jaguar (Panthera onca). PlosONE 13(3): e0194719.

Lonsinger, R. C., P. M. Lukacs, E.M. Gese, R.N. Knight, and L.P. Waits. In Press.  Estimating densities for sympathetic kit foxes (Vulpes macrotis) and coyotes (Canis latrans) using noninvasive genetic sampling.  Canadian Journal of Zoology.

Nowak, J. J., P. M. Lukacs, M. A. Hurley, A. J. Lindbloom, K. A. Robling, J. A. Gude, and H. Robinson. 2018. Customized Software to Streamline Routine Analyses for Wildlife Management. Wildlife Society Bulletin 42: 144-149.

Barfoot, C. A., L. A. Evarts, and P. M. Lukacs. 2018. Long-term trends in abundance and size of sport fishes in the Flathead River, Montana, following changes in hydroelectric dam operations. Northwest Science 92: 92-106.

Lukacs, P. M., M. S. Mitchell, M. Hebblewhite, B. K. Johnson, H. Johnson, M. Kauffman, K. M. Proffitt, P. Zager, K. Hersey, A. A. Holland, M. Hurley, S McCorquodale, A. Middleton, M. Nordhagen, J. J. Nowak and D. P. Walsh. 2017. Factors Influencing Elk Recruitment across Three Ecotypes in the Western USA. Journal of Wildlife Management 81: 364-378.

Woodruff, S. P., P. M. Lukacs, and L. P. Waits. In Press. Comparing performance of multiple noninvasive genetic capture-recapture methods for abundance estimation: a case study from Sonoran pronghorn.  Oryx.

Steenweg, R., M. Hebblewhite, J. Whittington, P. M. Lukacs and K. McKelvey. 2018. Sampling scales define occupancy and underlying occupancy-abundance relationships in animals. Ecology 99 172-183.

Oyler-McCance, S. J., J. A. Fike, P. M. Lukacs, D. W. Sparks, T. J. O’Shea, J. O. Whitaker Jr. 2017. Genetic mark-recapture improves estimates of maternity colony size for Indiana bats. Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management 9: 25-35.

Pavlacky, D. C., P. M. Lukacs, J. A. Blakesley, R. C. Skorkowsky, D. S. Klute, B. A. Hahn, V. J. Dreitz, T. L. George, and D. J. Hanni. 2017. A statistically rigorous sampling design to integrate avian monitoring and management within Bird Conservation Regions.  PlosONE 12 (10) e0185924.

Henderson, C R., M. S. Mitchell, W. L. Myers, P. M. Lukacs, and G. P. Nelson. 2018. Seasonal home range attributes influence choice of migratory in white-tailed deer. Journal of Mammalogy 99: 89-96.

Hurley, M. A., M. Hebblewhite, P. M. Lukacs, J. J. Nowak, J.-M. Gaillard, C. Bonefant. 2017. Generality and precision of regional-scale models for predicting overwinter survival of juvenile ungulates.  Journal of Wildlife Management 81: 364-378. Selected as the feature article for the April 2017 issue.

Eacker, D. R., P. M. Lukacs, K. M. Proffitt, and M. Hebblewhite. 2017. Assessing the importance of demographic parameters for population dynamics using Bayesian integrated population modeling. Ecological Applications 27:1280-1293.

Dreitz, V. J., L. T. Stinson, B. A. Hahn, J. D. Tack, and P. M. Lukacs. 2017 A large-scale perspective for managing prairie avifauna assemblages across the western US: influences of habitat landownership and latitude.  PeerJ 5 e2879.

Borg, N. J., M. S. Mitchell, P. M. Lukacs, C. M. Mack, L. P. Waits, P. R. Krausman. 2017. Behavioral connectivity among groups of bighorn sheep suggests potential for disease spread. Journal of Wildlife Management 81: 38-45.

McCaffery, R. M. and P. M. Lukacs. 2016. A generalized integrated population model to estimate greater sage-grouse population dynamics.  Ecosphere 7(11):e01585. 10.1002/ecs2.1585.

Williams, S. H., S. M. Gende, P. M. Lukacs, and K. Webb. 2016. Factors affecting whale detection from large ships in Alaska with implications for whale avoidance. Endangered Species Research 30: 209-223.

McCaffery, R. M., J. J. Nowak, and P. M. Lukacs. 2016. Improved analysis of lek count data using N-mixture models. Journal of Wildlife Management 80: 1011-1021.

Steenweg, R., J. Whittington, M. Hebblewhite, A. Forshner, B. Johnston, D. Petersen, B. Shepherd and P. M. Lukacs. 2016. Camera-based occupancy monitoring at large scales: power to detect trends in grizzly bears across the Canadian Rockies. Biological Conservation 192-200.

Kissling, M. K., S. B. Lewis, P. M. Lukacs, J. N. Waite, and S. M. Gende. 2016. Breeding decisions of Kittlitz’s murrelets, Icy Bay, Alaska.  Marine Ornithology 44: 171-182.

Woodruff, S. P., P. M. Lukacs, D. Christianson, and L. P. Waits. 2016. Estimating endangered Sonoran pronghorn (Antilocapra americana sonoriensis) abundance and survival using fecal DNA and capture-recapture methods. Conservation Biology Early View.

DeCesare, N. J., M. Hebblewhite, P. M. Lukacs, D. Hervieux. 2016. Evaluating common sources of censoring and truncation in telemetry-based survival data. Journal of Wildlife Management 80: 138-148.

Lukacs, P. M., A. Seglund, S. Boyle. 2015. Effects of Gunnison Sage-Grouse habitat treatment efforts on associated avifauna and vegetation structure. Avian Conservation and Ecology 10:7 http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ACE-00799-100207.

Goldberg, J. F., T. Tempa, N. Norbu, M. Hebblewhite, L. S. Mills, T. Wangchuk and P. M. Lukacs. 2015. Examining temporal sample scale and model choice with spatial capture-recapture models in the common leopard, Panthera pardus. PlosONE 10 e0140757. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0140757.

Schaefer, A. L., P. M. Lukacs, and M. L. Kissling. 2015. Testing factors influencing identification rates of similar species during abundance surveys.  Condor 117: 460-472.

Riordan, M. M., P. M. Lukacs, K. P. Hayveart, and V. J. Dreitz. 2015. Does the skewed sex ratio in the Mountain Plover population begin in the early life stages? Avian Conservation and Ecology 10(2):3. http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ACE-00772-100203.

Divoky, G. J., P. M. Lukacs and M. L. Druckenmiller. 2015. Effects of recent decreases in arctic sea ice on an ice-associated marine bird. Progress in Oceanography – Synthesis of Arctic Research. 136: 151-161.

Kissling, M. L., S. M. Gende, S. B. Lewis, and P. M. Lukacs. 2015. Reproductive performance of Kittlitz's Murrelet in a glaciated landscape landscape, Icy Bay, Alaska, USA.  Condor 117: 237-248.

Proffitt, K. M., N. Anderson, P. M. Lukacs, M. M. Riordan, J. A. Gude, J. Shamhart. 2015. Effects of elk density on elk aggregation patterns and exposure to brucellosis.  Journal of Wildlife Management 79: 373-383.

Sells, S. N., M. S. Mitchell, J. J. Nowak, P. M. Lukacs, N. J. Anderson, J. M. Ramsey, J. A. Gude, and P. R. Krausman. 2015. Modeling Risk of Pneumonia Epizootics in Bighorn Sheep. Journal of Wildlife Management. Journal of Wildlife Management 79: 195-210. Featured on the cover of JWM February 2015.

Kissling, M. L., P. M. Lukacs, S. M. Gende, S. B. Lewis. 2015. Multi-state mark-recapture model to estimate survival of a dispersed-nesting seabird, the Kittlitz’s Murrelet. Journal of Wildlife Management. 79: 20-30.

Schorr, R. A., P. M. Lukacs, J. A. Gude. 2014. The Montana deer and elk hunting population: the importance of cohort group, license price, and population demographics on hunter retention, recruitment, and population change. Journal of Wildlife Management 78: 944–952.

Whittington, J., K. Heuer, B. Hunt, M. Hebblewhite, and P. M. Lukacs. 2014. Estimating occupancy using spatially and temporally replicated snow surveys. Animal Conservation 18: 92-101.

Schorr, R. A., L. E. Ellison, and P. M. Lukacs. 2014. Efficacy of bat banding studies to estimate decline of migratory bat populations. Acta Chiropterologica 16: 231-239.

Zimova, M., L. S. Mills, P. M. Lukacs, and M. S. Mitchell. 2014. Snowshoe hares display limited phenotypic plasticity to mismatch in seasonal camouflage. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 281: 20140029.  Featured on the cover of PRSB May 7, 2014

Nehring, R. B., P. M. Lukacs, D. V. Baxa, M. E. T. Stinson, B. Poole, and A. Horton. 2014. Susceptibility to Myxobolus cerebralis among Tubifex tubifex populations from ten major drainage basins in Colorado where cutthroat trout are endemic. Journal of Aquatic Animal Health 26: 19-32.

Devineau, O., W. L. Kendall, P. F. Doherty Jr., T. M. Shenk, G. C. White, and P. M. Lukacs. 2014. Increased flexibility for modelling telemetry and nest survival data using the multistate framework.  Journal of Wildlife Management 78: 224-230.

Walters, D. M., R. E. Zuellig, H. J. Crockett, J. F. Bruce, P. M. Lukacs, and R. M. Fitzpatrick. 2014. Barriers impede upstream spawning migration of flathead chub. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society. 143: 17-25.

Mills, L. S., M. Zimova, J. Oyler, S. Running, J. Abatzoglou, and P. M. Lukacs. 2013. Camouflage mismatch in seasonal coat color due to decreased snow duration. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110: 7360-7365. Featured on the cover of PNAS April 30, 2013.

Brodie, J., H. Johnson, M. Mitchell, P. Zager, K. Proffitt, M. Hebblewhite, M. Kauffman, B. Johnson, J. Bissonette, C. Bishop, J. Gude, J. Herbert, K. Hersey, M. Hurley, P. M. Lukacs, S. McCorquodale, E. McIntire, J. Nowak, H. Sawyer, D. Smith, and P.J. White. 2013. Relative influence of human harvest, carnivores, and weather on adult female elk survival across western North America.  Journal of Applied Ecology 50: 295-305.

Pavlacky, D. C., J. A. Blakesley, G. C. White, D. J. Hanni, and P. M. Lukacs. 2012. Hierarchical multi-scale occupancy for monitoring wildlife populations.  Journal of Wildlife Management. 76:154-162

Lukacs, P. M., J. A. Gude, R. E. Russell, and B. B. Ackerman.  2011.  Evaluating cost- efficiency and accuracy of hunter harvest survey designs.  Wildlife Society Bulletin 35: 430–437.

Bergman, E. J., B. E. Watkins, C. J. Bishop, P. M. Lukacs, and M. Lloyd.  2011. Biological and socio-economic effects of statewide limitation of deer licenses in Colorado.  Journal of Wildlife Management 75: 1443–1452.

Kissling, M. L, P. M. Lukacs, S. B. Lewis, S. M. Gende, K. J. Kuletz, N. R. Hatch, S. K. Schoen, and S. Oehlers. 2011. Distribution, abundance, and changes in populations of the Kittlitz’s Murrelet in Southeast Alaska. Marine Ornithology 39: 3–11.

Lukacs, P. M., M. L. Kissling, M. Reid, S. M. Gende, and S. B. Lewis.  2010.  Testing assumptions of distance sampling on a pelagic seabird.  Condor 112: 455–459.

Wolfe, L. L., M. M. Conner, C. L. Bidwell, P. M. Lukacs, and M. W. Miller. 2010. Select liver mineral concentrations and chronic wasting disease status in mule deer from northcentral Colorado.  Journal of Wildlife Diseases 46: 1029–1034.

Devineau, O., T. M. Shenk, G. C. White, P. F. Doherty Jr., P. M. Lukacs, and R. H. Kahn.  2010. Evaluating the lynx reintroduction programme in Colorado: patterns in mortality.  Journal of Applied Ecology 47: 524–531.  Paper selected as the Editor’s Choice for the issue.

Lukacs, P. M., K. P. Burnham, and D. R. Anderson. 2010. Model selection bias and Freedman’s paradox.  Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics: Special Issue of AISM in Honor of Dr. Hirotugu Akaike.62: 117–125. Cited >100 times.

Lukacs, P. M., G. C. White, B. E. Watkins, R. H. Kahn, B. A. Banulis, D. J. Finley, A. A. Holland, J. A. Martens, and J. Vayhinger.  2009. Separating components of variation in survival of mule deer in Colorado.  Journal of Wildlife Management 73: 817–826.

Dreher, B. P., G. J. M. Rosa, P. M. Lukacs, K. T. Scribner, and S. R. Winterstein. 2009. Interaction between genotyping error and subsampling non-invasive hair samples affects estimates of black bear abundance.  Journal of Wildlife Management 73: 1184–1188.

Schorr, R. A., P. M. Lukacs, and G. L. Florant. 2009.  Body mass and winter severity as predictors of overwinter survival in Preble's meadow jumping.  Journal of Mammalogy 90: 17–24.

Miller, M. W., H. M. Swanson, L. L. Wolfe, F. G. Quatarone, S. L. Huwer, C. H. Southwick, and P. M. Lukacs.  2008.  Lions and prions and deer demise.  PLoS ONE 3: e4019. http://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0004019

Bishop, C. J., G. C. White, and P. M. Lukacs.  2008.  Evaluating dependence among mule deer siblings in fetal and neonatal survival analyses. Journal of Wildlife Management 72: 1085–1093.

George, J. L., D. J. Martin, P. M. Lukacs, and M. W. Miller.  2008.  Epidemic pasteurellosis in a bighorn sheep population coinciding with the appearance of a domestic sheep.  Journal of Wildlife Diseases 44: 388–403.

Lukacs, P. M., L. S. Eggert, and K. P. Burnham.  2007.  Estimating population size from dung-based DNA capture-recapture data.  Wildlife Biology in Practice 3: 83–92.

Kissling, M. K., M. Reid, P. M. Lukacs, S. M. Gende, and S. B. Lewis. 2007. Understanding abundance patterns of a declining seabird:  implications for monitoring.  Ecological Applications 17: 2164–2174.

Schorr, R. A, J. L. Siemers, P. M. Lukacs, J. R. Sovell, R. J. Rondeau, J. P. Gionfriddo, and M. B. Wunder.  2007. Comparisons of prairie rodent survival in xeric shrublands of south-central Colorado.  Southwest Naturalist 54: 552–563.

Dreher, B. P., S. R. Winterstein, K. T. Scribner, P. M. Lukacs, D. R. Etter, G. J. M. Rosa, V. A. Lopez, S. Libants and K. B. Filcek. 2007. Non-invasive estimation of black bear abundance in Michigan incorporating genotyping errors and harvested bears. Journal of Wildlife Management 71: 2684–2693.

Lukacs, P. M. 2007. Development and analysis of joint internet-telephone hunter surveys.  Human Dimensions of Wildlife 12: 263–273.

Lukacs, P. M., W. L. Thompson, W. R. Gould, W. L. Kendall, P. F. Doherty Jr., K. P. Burnham, and D. R. Anderson.  2007.  Concerns regarding a call for pluralism. Journal of Applied Ecology 44: 456–460. Cited >100 times.

Dreitz, V. J., P. M. Lukacs, and F. L. Knopf.  2006.  Monitoring low density avian species: the example of Mountain Plovers.  Condor 108: 700–706.

Steenhof, K., K. K. Bates, M. R. Fuller, M. N. Kochert, J. O. McKinley, and P. M. Lukacs.  2006.  Effects of radio marking on prairie falcons: attachment failures provide insights about survival.  Wildlife Society Bulletin 34: 116–126.

Lukacs, P. M., and K. P. Burnham.  2005.  Review of capture-recapture methods applicable to DNA-based noninvasive sampling.  Molecular Ecology 14: 3909–3919. Cited >100 times.

Lukacs, P. M., and K. P. Burnham.  2005.  Estimating population size from DNA-based closed population capture–recapture data incorporating genotyping error.  Journal of Wildlife Management 69: 396–403. Cited >100 times.

Lukacs, P. M., D. R. Anderson, and K. P. Burnham.  2005.  Evaluation of trapping-web designs.  Wildlife Research 32: 103–110.

Cooney, S. J., A. P. Covich, P. M. Lukacs, A. L. Harig, and K. D. Fausch.  2005. Modeling global warming scenarios in greenback cutthroat trout (Onchorhynchus clarki stomias):  implications for species recovery.  Western North American Naturalist 65: 371–381.

Lukacs, P. M., V. J. Dreitz, F. L. Knopf, and K. P. Burnham.  2004.  Estimating survival probabilities of unmarked dependent young when detection is imperfect.  Condor 106: 927–932.

Ellingson, A. R., and P. M. Lukacs.  2003.  Improving methods for regional landbird monitoring: a reply to Hutto and Young. Wildlife Society Bulletin 31: 896–902.

Lukacs, P. M.  2002.  WebSim: Simulation software to assist in trapping web design. Wildlife Society Bulletin 30: 1259–1261.

Book chapters

Hebblewhite, M., M. A. Hurley, P. M. Lukacs, and J. J. Nowak. 2018. Predicting mule deer harvests in real time: integrating satellite remote sensing measures of forage quality and climate in Idaho, United States. Pages 194-228. In: Satellite remote sensing for conservation action: case studies from aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems. A. K. Leidner and G. M. Buchanan (eds.).

Lukacs, P. M. and V. J. Dreitz. 2009.  Young survival from marked adults. In: A gentle introduction to MARK. E. G. Cooch and G. C. White (eds). http://www.phidot.org/software/mark/docs/book/

Lukacs, P. M., K. P. Burnham, B. P. Dreher, K. T. Scribner, and S. R. Winterstein.  2008. Extending the robust design for DNA-based capture-recapture data incorporating genotyping error and multiple data sources.  Pages 711-726.  In: Modeling Demographic Processes in Marked Populations: Environmental and Ecological Statistics, Vol. 3 Thomson, David L.; Cooch, Evan G.; Conroy, Michael J. (Eds.).

Royle, J. A., T. R. Stanley, and P. M. Lukacs.  2008.  Statistical modeling and inference from carnivore survey data. pages. 293-312 In: Noninvasive survey methods for North American carnivores. R. A. Long, P. MacKay, J. C. Ray and W. J. Zielinski (eds). Island Press, Washington D. C., USA

Lukacs, P. M. 2005.  Closed population capture-recapture models.  In: A gentle introduction to MARK. E. G. Cooch and G. C. White (eds). http://www.phidot.org/software/mark/docs/book/

Lukacs, P. M., A. B. Franklin, and D. R. Anderson.  2004.  Passive approaches to detection in distance sampling. pages 260–280, In: Advanced distance sampling. S. T. Buckland, D. R. Anderson, K. P. Burnham, J. L. Laake, D. L. Borchers, and L. Thomas (eds). Oxford University Press, Oxford, U.K.

Conference proceedings

Kissling, M. K., M. Reid, P. M. Lukacs, S. M. Gende, and S. B. Lewis.  2007.  Recommendations for monitoring Kittlitz’s Murrelets in Icy Bay.  Alaska Park Science 6 (2): 59–61.