Journal articles published or in press

Borg, N. J., M. S. Mitchell, P. M. Lukacs, C. M. Mack, L. P. Waits, P. R. Krausman. In Press. Behavioral connectivity among groups of bighorn sheep suggests potential for disease spread. Journal of Wildlife Management.

Williams, S. H., S. M. Gende, P. M. Lukacs, and K. Webb. 2016. Factors affecting whale detection from large ships in Alaska with implications for whale avoidance. Endangered Species Research 30: 209-223.

McCaffery, R. M., J. J. Nowak, and P. M. Lukacs. 2016. Improved analysis of lek count data using N-mixture models. Journal of Wildlife Management 80: 1011-1021.

Steenweg, R., J. Whittington, M. Hebblewhite, A. Forshner, B. Johnston, D. Petersen, B. Shepherd and P. M. Lukacs. 2016. Camera-based occupancy monitoring at large scales: power to detect trends in grizzly bears across the Canadian Rockies. Biological Conservation 192-200.

Kissling, M. K., S. B. Lewis, P. M. Lukacs, J. N. Waite, and S. M. Gende.  In Press. Breeding decisions of Kittlitz’s murrelets, Icy Bay, Alaska.  Marine Ornithology.

Woodruff, S. P., P. M. Lukacs, D. Christianson, and L. P. Waits. 2016. Estimating endangered Sonoran pronghorn (Antilocapra americana sonoriensis) abundance and survival using fecal DNA and capture-recapture methods. Conservation Biology Early View.

DeCesare, N. J., M. Hebblewhite, P. M. Lukacs, D. Hervieux. 2016. Evaluating common sources of censoring and truncation in telemetry-based survival data. Journal of Wildlife Management 80: 138-148.

Lukacs, P. M., A. Seglund, S. Boyle. 2015. Effects of Gunnison Sage-Grouse habitat treatment efforts on associated avifauna and vegetation structure. Avian Conservation and Ecology 10:7

Goldberg, J. F., T. Tempa, N. Norbu, M. Hebblewhite, L. S. Mills, T. Wangchuk and P. M. Lukacs. 2015. Examining temporal sample scale and model choice with spatial capture-recapture models in the common leopard, Panthera pardus. PlosONE 10 e0140757. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0140757.

Schaefer, A. L., P. M. Lukacs, and M. L. Kissling. 2015. Testing factors influencing indentification rates of similar species during abundance surveys.  Condor 117: 460-472.

Riordan, M. M., P. M. Lukacs, K. P. Hayveart, and V. J. Dreitz. In Press. Does the skewed sex ratio in the Mountain Plover population begin in the early life stages? Avian Conservation and Ecology

Divoky, G. J., P. M. Lukacs and M. L. Druckenmiller. 2015. Effects of recent decreases in arctic sea ice on an ice-associated marine bird. Progress in Oceanography – Synthesis of Arctic Research. 136: 151-161.

Kissling, M. L., S. M. Gende, S. B. Lewis, and P. M. Lukacs. 2015. Reproductive performance of Kittlitz's Murrelet in a glaciated landscape landscape, Icy Bay, Alaska, USA.  Condor 117: 237-248.

Proffitt, K. M., N. Anderson, P. M. Lukacs, M. M. Riordan, J. A. Gude, J. Shamhart. 2015. Effects of elk density on elk aggregation patterns and exposure to brucellosis.  Journal of Wildlife Management 79: 373-383.

Sells, S. N., M. S. Mitchell, J. J. Nowak, P. M. Lukacs, N. J. Anderson, J. M. Ramsey, J. A. Gude, and P. R. Krausman. 2015. Modeling Risk of Pneumonia Epizootics in Bighorn Sheep. Journal of Wildlife Management 79: 195-210.  Featured on the cover of the February 2015 issue of JWM.

Kissling, M. L., P. M. Lukacs, S. M. Gende, S. B. Lewis. 2015. Multi-state mark-recaptrue model to estimate survival of a dispersed-nesting seabird, the Kittlitz’s murrelet. Journal of Wildlife Management 79: 20-30.

Schorr, R. A., P. M. Lukacs, J. A. Gude. 2014. The Montana deer and elk hunting population: the importance of cohort group, license price, and population demographics on hunter retention, recruitment, and population change. Journal of Wildlife Management 78: 944-952.

Whittington, J., K. Heuer, B. Hunt, M. Hebblewhite, and P. M. Lukacs. 2014. Estimating occupancy using spatially and temporally replicated snow surveys. Animal Conservation in press.

Schorr, R. A., L. E. Ellison, and P. M. Lukacs. 2014. Efficacy of bat banding studies to estimate decline of migratory bat populations. Acta Chiropterologica 16: 231-239.

Zimova, M., L. S. Mills, P. M. Lukacs, and M. S. Mitchell. 2014. Snowshoe hares display limited phenotypic plasticity to mismatch in seasonal camouflage. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 281: 20140029.  Featured on the cover of PRSB May 7, 2014

Nehring, R. B., P. M. Lukacs, D. V. Baxa, M. E. T. Stinson, B. Poole, and A. Horton. 2014. Susceptibility to Myxobolus cerebralis among Tubifex tubifex populations from ten major drainage basins in Colorado where cutthroat trout are endemic. Journal of Aquatic Animal Health 26: 19-32.

Devineau, O., W. L. Kendall, P. F. Doherty Jr., T. M. Shenk, G. C. White, and P. M. Lukacs. 2014. Increased flexibility for modelling telemetry and nest survival data using the multistate framework.  Journal of Wildlife Management 78: 224-230.

Walters, D. M., R. E. Zuellig, H. J. Crockett, J. F. Bruce, P. M. Lukacs, and R. M. Fitzpatrick. 2014. Barriers impede upstream spawning migration of flathead chub. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society. 143: 17-25.

Mills, L. S., M. Zimova, J. Oyler, S. Running, J. Abatzoglou, and P. M. Lukacs. 2013. Camouflage mismatch in seasonal coat color due to decreased snow duration. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110: 7360-7365. Featured on the cover of PNAS April 30, 2013.

Brodie, J., H. Johnson, M. Mitchell, P. Zager, K. Proffitt, M. Hebblewhite, M. Kauffman, B. Johnson, J. Bissonette, C. Bishop, J. Gude, J. Herbert, K. Hersey, M. Hurley, P M. Lukacs, S. McCorquodale, E. McIntire, J. Nowak, H. Sawyer, D. Smith, and P.J. White. 2013. Relative influence of human harvest, carnivores, and weather on adult female elk survival across western North America.  Journal of Applied Ecology 50:295-305.

Pavlacky, D. C., J. A. Blakesley, G. C. White, D. J. Hanni, and P. M. Lukacs. 2012. Hierarchical multi-scale occupancy for monitoring wildlife populations.  Journal of Wildlife Management 76:154-162.

Lukacs, P. M., J. A. Gude, R. E. Russell, and B. B. Ackerman.  2011.  Evaluating cost-efficiency and accuracy of hunter harvest survey designs.  Wildlife Society Bulletin 35: 430-437.

Bergman, E. J., B. E. Watkins, C. J. Bishop, P. M. Lukacs, and M. Lloyd.  2011.  Biological and Socio-Economic Effects of Statewide Limitation of Deer Licenses in Colorado.  Journal of Wildlife Management 75: 1443–1452.

Kissling, M. L, P. M. Lukacs, S. B. Lewis, S. M. Gende, K. J. Kuletz, N. R. Hatch, S. K. Schoen, and S. Oehlers. 2011. Distribution, abundance, and changes in populations of the Kittlitz’s Murrelet in Southeast Alaska. Marine Ornithology 39: 3–11.

Lukacs, P. M., M. L. Kissling, M. Reid, S. M. Gende, and S. B. Lewis.  2010.  Testing assumptions of distance sampling on a pelagic seabird.  Condor 112: 455–459.

Wolfe, L. L., M. M. Conner, C. L. Bidwell, P. M. Lukacs, and M. W. Miller. 2010.  Select liver mineral concentrations and chronic wasting disease status in mule deer from northcentral Colorado.  Journal of Wildlife Diseases 46: 1029–1034.

Devineau, O., T. M. Shenk, G. C. White, P. F. Doherty Jr., P. M. Lukacs, and R. H. Kahn.  2010. Evaluating the lynx reintroduction programme in Colorado: patterns in mortality.  Journal of Applied Ecology 47: 524–531.  Paper selected as the Editor’s Choice for the issue.

Lukacs, P. M., K. P. Burnham, and D. R. Anderson. 2010. Model selection bias and Freedman’s paradox.  Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics: Special Issue of AISM in Honor of Dr. Hirotugu Akaike.62: 117–125.

Lukacs, P. M., G. C. White, B. E. Watkins, R. H. Kahn, B. A. Banulis, D. J. Finley, A. A. Holland, J. A. Martens, and J. Vayhinger.  2009. Separating components of variation in survival of mule deer in Colorado.  Journal of Wildlife Management 73: 817–826.

Dreher, B. P., G. J. M. Rosa, P. M. Lukacs, K. T. Scribner, and S. R. Winterstein. 2009. Interaction between genotyping error and subsampling non-invasive hair samples affects estimates of black bear abundance. Journal of Wildlife Management 73: 1184–1188.

Schorr, R. A., P. M. Lukacs, and G. L. Florant. 2009.  Body mass and winter severity as predictors of overwinter survival in Preble's meadow jumping.  Journal of Mammology 90: 17–24.

Miller, M. W., H. M. Swanson, L. L. Wolfe, F. G. Quatarone, S. L. Huwer, C. H. Southwick, and P. M. Lukacs.  2008.  Lions and prions and deer demise.  PLoS ONE 3: e4019.

Bishop, C. J., G. C. White, and P. M. Lukacs.  2008.  Evaluating dependence among mule deer siblings in fetal and neonatal survival analyses. Journal of Wildlife Management 72: 1085–1093.

George, J. L., D. J. Martin, P. M. Lukacs, and M. W. Miller.  2008.  Epidemic pasteurellosis in a bighorn sheep population coinciding with the appearance of a domestic sheep.  Journal of Wildlife Diseases 44: 388–403.

Lukacs, P. M., L. S. Eggert, and K. P. Burnham.  2007.  Estimating population size from dung-based DNA capture-recapture data.  Wildlife Biology in Practice 3: 83–92.

Kissling, M. K., M. Reid, P. M. Lukacs, S. M. Gende, and S. B. Lewis. 2007. Understanding abundance patterns of a declining seabird:  implications for monitoring.  Ecological Applications 17: 2164–2174.

Schorr, R. A, J. L. Siemers, P. M. Lukacs, J. R. Sovell, R. J. Rondeau, J. P. Gionfriddo, and M. B. Wunder.  2007.  Comparisons of prairie rodent survival in xeric shrublands of south-central Colorado.  Southwest Naturalist 54: 552–563.

Dreher, B. P., S. R. Winterstein, K. T. Scribner, P. M. Lukacs, D. R. Etter, G. J. M. Rosa, V. A. Lopez, S. Libants and K. B. Filcek. 2007. Non-invasive estimation of black bear abundance in Michigan incorporating genotyping errors and harvested bears.  Journal of Wildlife Management 71: 2684–2693.

Lukacs, P. M.  2007. Development and analysis of joint internet-telephone hunter surveys.  Human Dimensions of Wildlife 12: 263–273.

Lukacs, P. M., W. L. Thompson, W. R. Gould, W. L. Kendall, P. F. Doherty Jr., K. P. Burnham, and D. R. Anderson.  2007.  Concerns regarding a call for pluralism.  Journal of Applied Ecology 44: 456–460.

Dreitz, V. J., P. M. Lukacs, and F. L. Knopf.  2006.  Monitoring low density avian species: the example of Mountain Plovers.  Condor 108: 700–706.

Steenhof, K., K. K. Bates, M. R. Fuller, M. N. Kochert, J. O. McKinley, and P. M. Lukacs.  2006.  Effects of radio marking on prairie falcons: attachment failures provide insights about survival.  Wildlife Society Bulletin 34: 116–126.

Lukacs, P. M., and K. P. Burnham.  2005.  Review of capture-recapture methods applicable to DNA-based noninvasive sampling.  Molecular Ecology 14: 3909–3919.

Lukacs, P. M., and K. P. Burnham.  2005.  Estimating population size from DNA-based closed population capture–recapture data incorporating genotyping error.  Journal of Wildlife Management 69: 396–403.

Lukacs, P. M., D. R. Anderson, and K. P. Burnham.  2005.  Evaluation of trapping-web designs.  Wildlife Research 32: 103–110.

Cooney, S. J., A. P. Covich, P. M. Lukacs, A. L. Harig, and K. D. Fausch.  2005.  Modeling global warming scenarios in greenback cutthroat trout (Onchorhynchus clarki stomias):  implications for species recovery.  Western North American Naturalist 65: 371–381.

Lukacs, P. M., V. J. Dreitz, F. L. Knopf, and K. P. Burnham.  2004.  Estimating survival probabilities of unmarked dependent young when detection is imperfect.  Condor 106: 927–932.

Ellingson, A. R., and P. M. Lukacs.  2003.  Improving methods for regional landbird monitoring: a reply to Hutto and Young. Wildlife Society Bulletin 31: 896–902.

Lukacs, P. M.  2002.  WebSim: Simulation software to assist in trapping web design. Wildlife Society Bulletin 30: 1259–1261.

Book chapters

Lukacs, P. M. and V. J. Dreitz. 2009.  Young survival from marked adults. In: A gentle introduction to MARK. E. G. Cooch and G. C. White (eds).

Lukacs, P. M., K. P. Burnham, B. P. Dreher, K. T. Scribner, and S. R. Winterstein.  2008.  Extending the robust design for DNA-based capture-recapture data incorporating genotyping error and multiple data sources.  Pages 711-726.  In: Modeling Demographic Processes in Marked Populations: Environmental and Ecological Statistics, Vol. 3 Thomson, David L.; Cooch, Evan G.; Conroy, Michael J. (Eds.).

Royle, J. A., T. R. Stanley, and P. M. Lukacs.  2008.  Statistical modeling and inference from carnivore survey data. pages. 293-312 In: Noninvasive survey methods for North American carnivores. R. A. Long, P. MacKay, J. C. Ray and W. J. Zielinski (eds). Island Press, Washington D. C., USA

Lukacs, P. M.  2005.  Closed population capture-recapture models.  In: A gentle introduction to MARK. E. G. Cooch and G. C. White (eds).

Lukacs, P. M., A. B. Franklin, and D. R. Anderson.  2004.  Passive approaches to detection in distance sampling. pages 260–280, In: Advanced distance sampling. S. T. Buckland, D. R. Anderson, K. P. Burnham, J. L. Laake, D. L. Borchers, and L. Thomas (eds). Oxford University Press, Oxford, U.K.

Conference proceedings

Kissling, M. K., M. Reid, P. M. Lukacs, S. M. Gende, and S. B. Lewis.  2007.  Recommendations for monitoring Kittlitz’s Murrelets in Icy Bay.  Alaska Park Science 6 (2): 59–61.